PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, May 31, 2014

Just a short (and late) forecast for Saturday.  We've seen very poor air quality this morning by summer standards, but we're likely to see those PM2.5 readings drop a bit in the afternoon.  It's unlikely we'll see conditions better than Unhealthy before the day is over.

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, June 1:  We’re still looking at the chance for good air quality on Sunday morning.  It’s still probably a long shot, but it's probably fair to say that conditions should at least be better than Saturday's conditions.  So, look for conditions somewhere between Good and the lower ranges of Unhealthy for Sunday morning, then the pollution should slowly accumulate again in the afternoon. 

MONDAY, June 2:  Monday should take us back to about average AQI readings for Beijing in the summer, so you can expect to see Unhealthy conditions for almost the entire day.

TUESDAY, June 3:  We’re expecting another day with about average conditions on Tuesday, so look for Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day with a chance of elevated pollution levels during the early morning hours. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, May 30, 2014

Friday's forecast looks very similar to Thursday's, so we'll hope that it turns out as well.  In any event, you can expect Unhealthy conditions overnight, then improving conditions by late morning.  We could see the AQI drop as low as Moderate in the afternoon before the pollution begins to accumulate again in the evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, May 31:  And we're expecting yet another day with about average conditions on Saturday, so look for Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day, in particular during the morning hours.  As will be normal for the summer months, there is a chance of better air quality in the afternoon hours.

SUNDAY, June 1:  It's not certain, but for right now, we're seeing a chance for good air quality on Sunday morning.  It's a long shot at the moment, but we'll hope that firms up in the next couple of days. 

MONDAY, June 2:  We also have a chance at good air quality on Monday morning, but at this point it looks like a smaller chance than we have on Sunday. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, May 29, 2014

Wednesday was better than expected, and it looks like Thursday should be better than we had previously predicted.  We should spend nearly the entire day at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups, but there is a decent chance that we could see Moderate AQI readings in the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, May 30:  We can again expect average or slightly better than average conditions on Friday:  AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups for most or all of the day.

SATURDAY, May 31:  And yet another day with about average conditions on Saturday, so look for Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day, in particular during the morning hours.  As will be normal for the summer months, there is a chance of better air quality in the afternoon hours. 

SUNDAY, June 1:  More of the same for Sunday:  Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups for the entire day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, May 28, 2014

After good air quality on Tuesday, Wednesday will be a bit worse.  Look for increasing AQI readings through the morning, then we could see some slight improvement in the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, May 29:  Thursday looks like it will be an average day for Beijing with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most or all of the day.

FRIDAY, May 30:  We can expect about average conditions on Friday as well:  Unhealthy AQI readings for most or all of the day.

SATURDAY, May 31:  And yet another day with about average conditions on Saturday, so look for Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Tuesday's air quality forecast is looking good.  You can expect Good or Moderate AQI readings throughout the day as long as the afternoon winds don't turn into a sandstorm.  Right now that looks unlikely, but it's worth flagging as a possibility. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, May 28:  Look for conditions to return to more normal readings on Wednesday.  We will almost certainly make it back to Unhealthy AQI readings by late morning or early afternoon.

THURSDAY, May 29:  Thursday looks like it will be an average day for Beijing with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most or all of the day.

FRIDAY, May 30:  We can expect about average conditions on Friday as well:  Unhealthy AQI readings for most or all of the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, May 26, 2014

Monday's forecast looks promising, but there is still a chance that we could see PM2.5 levels higher than on Sunday.  Even with that, you can just about guarantee better than average air quality for Monday. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, May 27:  Tuesday’s forecast looks great as well:  even if the AQI goes up in the morning hours, look for the skies to clear again by the afternoon.  There is one caveat to this forecast, however:  high winds are predicted for the afternoon, and that could develop into a sandstorm and give us worse than expected air quality. 

WEDNESDAY, May 28:  The AQI may be a bit lower than normal on Wednesday morning, but look for conditions to return to more normal readings during the late morning or afternoon.  We will almost certainly make it back to Unhealthy AQI readings at some point during the afternoon.

THURSDAY, May 29:  Thursday looks like it will be an average day for Beijing with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most or all of the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, May 25, 2014

Apologies for being absent the last few days, but our team is traveling at the moment, making it difficult to keep up the regular posting.  But we're back with some good news for Sunday's forecast.  We'll start the day off at Unhealthy or higher AQI readings, but the air should start to clear sometime in the morning.  We should definitely be at Good/Moderate conditions by late afternoon and through the rest of the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, May 26:  Right now it looks like there is a very good chance that Sunday's good air quality will carry over and last through almost the entire day on Monday. 

TUESDAY, May 27:  Tuesday's forecast looks great as well:  even if the AQI goes up in the morning hours, look for the skies to clear again by the afternoon. 

WEDNESDAY, May 28:  The AQI may be a bit lower than normal on Wednesday morning, but look for conditions to return to more normal readings during the late morning or afternoon. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, May 22, 2014

We're in for another rough morning on Thursday, but the afternoon should be an improvement.  Look for Unhealthy/Very Unhealthy conditions in the morning, then Unhealthy/Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups conditions in the late afternoon and evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, May 23: After Thursday evening's improved air quality, it looks like we should have slightly better than average air quality on Friday.  As usual, look for the highest AQI readings of the day in the morning and the best air quality in the afternoon and evening. 

SATURDAY, May 24:  We’re not expecting good air quality on Saturday, but it certainly looks better than average.  Look for Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups AQI readings throughout the day.

SUNDAY, May 22:  Sunday should bring us clearing skies and Good/Moderate air quality.  You can expect the good air to arrive between late morning and early afternoon. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Tuesday's Moderate air quality was a great surprise.  Unfortunately, it looks like there is little chance of it repeating on Wednesday.  We should see about average air quality for Wednesday, with AQI readings at Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy throughout the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, May 22:  Normal conditions again for Thursday, and probably a bit better than we will see on Wednesday.  There is also chance that we could see the skies clear somewhat more than usual in the afternoon.

FRIDAY, May 23: From the extended weather forecast, it looks like we could have slightly better than average air quality on Friday.

SATURDAY, May 24:  We're not expecting good air quality on Saturday, but it certainly looks better than average.  Look for Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups AQI readings throughout the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, May 20, 2014

We've had a rough couple of days of air quality, and Tuesday is not likely to be much better.  We should see some clearing of the air overnight, but conditions will not likely improve beyond Unhealthy.  Then after noon, the pollution should accumulate again. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, May 21:  We will probably be back to about average air quality on Wednesday, with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most of the day.

THURSDAY, May 22:  Normal conditions again for Thursday, but there is a chance that we could see the skies clear somewhat in the afternoon.

FRIDAY, May 22: From the extended weather forecast, it looks like we could have slightly better than average air quality on Friday. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, May 18, 2014

Sunday's forecast is looking very similar to Saturday's conditions, so will probably seem a bit familiar.  Look for the AQI to increase overnight, probably leaving us at Unhealthy for the morning hours.  Then the pollution levels should start to decrease around late morning or noon, and we could see AQI readings as low as Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups by late afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, May 19:  Tomorrow, we will not be posting a forecast for Monday, so this brief look ahead will have to suffice.  We should wake up to Unhealthy AQI readings, but the skies should start to clear shortly after noon.  There is a very good chance that the AQI will drop down to Good or Moderate before the day is over.

TUESDAY, May 20:  There is a good chance we will have Good/Moderate air quality through the morning and possibly into the early afternoon on Tuesday, but the pollution should start to accumulate again during the afternoon hours. 

WEDNESDAY, May 21:  We will probably be back to about average air quality on Wednesday, with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most of the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, May 17, 2014

We should be back to average or slightly higher than average conditions in Beijing on Saturday.  Look for Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy conditions on Saturday morning, then improving air quality in the afternoon.  Unfortunately, we are unlikely to see conditions better than Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups at any point. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, May 18:  We should have another day of about average air quality on Sunday, with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most of the day.

MONDAY, May 19:  Monday is likely to be a transition day.  We should wake up to Unhealthy AQI readings, but we should see the skies start to clear sometime between mid-morning and late afternoon.

TUESDAY, May 20:  There is a good chance we will have Good/Moderate air quality throughout the day on Tuesday. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, May 16, 2014

We're expecting some good air quality once again on Friday.  We should see decreasing pollution in the morning, probably bringing us to Good or Moderate air quality between about 6AM and 10AM.  After a few hours at that level, we should see the pollution start to accumulate again by mid-afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, May 17:  Saturday should take us back to average air quality in Beijing, likely at Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day.  There is some chance that Friday's good air will stay around for a while on Saturday morning, but that seems unlikely at this point. 

SUNDAY, May 18:  We should have another day of about average air quality on Sunday, with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most of the day.

MONDAY, May 19:  Monday should be another day of about average air quality for Beijing, but we could see the skies start to clear late in the evening in advance of Tuesday's clearing skies. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, May 15, 2014

After a great day on Wednesday, we should be back to average conditions in Beijing on Thursday.  Look for increasing pollution levels overnight and through the morning, but we should see some reduction in the pollution in the afternoon.  Even with the changes in air quality, we can expect Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day.

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, May 16:  Friday will bring us another chance at Good/Moderate air quality, possibly arriving between sunrise and late morning.  After a few hours of good quality, we could see the AQI readings climb back up to Unhealthy in the evening.

SATURDAY, May 17:  Saturday should take us back to average air quality in Beijing, likely at Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day.

SUNDAY, May 18:  We should have another day of about average air quality on Sunday, with AQI readings at Unhealthy for most of the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, May 14, 2014

We're expecting Good or Moderate AQI readings throughout the day on Wednesday, so be sure to get outside and enjoy the fresh air!

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, May 15:  After good air quality on Wednesday, we will probably be back at average conditions on Thursday, so you can expect to see Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day.

FRIDAY, May 16:  We’re expecting more average air quality on Friday with Unhealthy conditions for most of the day, although there is a reasonable chance that we could some clearing of the air late in the morning.

SATURDAY, May 17:  Saturday should be yet another day of average air quality in Beijing, likely at Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, May 13, 2014

We had a great afternoon on Monday, and Tuesday promises to turn out similarly.  We should see increased PM2.5 levels early in the morning, but the air should start to clear between mid- and late-morning.  Look for Good or Moderate AQI readings to arrive between about noon and 5PM, then the clear skies should stay around for the rest of the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, May 14:  After the skies clear on Tuesday evening, we should have Good/Moderate conditions for all of Wednesday.

THURSDAY, May 15:  After good air quality on Wednesday, we will probably be back at average conditions on Thursday, so you can expect to see Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day.

FRIDAY, May 16:  We're expecting another average day on Friday with Unhealthy conditions for most of the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, May 12, 2014

We had good air quality on Mother's Day, but Monday should be somewhat worse.  Expect increasing pollution overnight, then decreasing pollution during the morning and early afternoon.  There is a good chance that the AQI will drop down into Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or Moderate during the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, May 13:  Back to poor air quality on Tuesday morning, but the skies should clear again on Tuesday afternoon.

WEDNESDAY, May 14:  After the skies clear on Tuesday evening, we should stay at Good/Moderate conditions for all of Wednesday.

THURSDAY, May 15:  After good air quality on Wednesday, we will probably be back at average conditions on Thursday, so you can expect to see Unhealthy AQI readings for most of the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, May 11, 2014

The stage is set for good air quality in Beijing for Mother's Day!  We should wake up to Good or Moderate AQI readings, and that good air quality should stick around for the morning.  But shortly after you get home from brunch, expect to see the pollution start accumulating again. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, May 12:  On Monday morning, we should be back to poor air quality, but there is a good chance that the skies will clear again between late morning and early afternoon.

TUESDAY, May 13:  Back to poor air quality on Tuesday morning, but we have yet another chance at clearing skies on Tuesday afternoon.

WEDNESDAY, May 14:  After the skies clear on Tuesday evening, we should stay at Good/Moderate conditions for all of Wednesday. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, May 10, 2014

We were hoping for good air quality on Saturday, but now it looks like we will probably see conditions very similar to Friday's.  Expect Unhealthy AQI readings in the morning, then a decent chance at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups readings in the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, May 11:  We have a very good chance of good air quality on Sunday.  We should see the air clear overnight, leaving us with Good or Moderate AQI readings for the entire day.

MONDAY, May 12:  On Monday morning, we should be back to poor air quality, but there is a reasonable chance that the skies will clear again around noon.

TUESDAY, May 13:  Back to average conditions for Tuesday, so look for Unhealthy conditions for most of the day. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, May 9, 2014

Friday looks a bit more promising than our average day in Beijing.  We should see increased pollution overnight and into the morning, probably peaking somewhere in the Unhealthy range.  But we have a good chance at reduced pollution levels (possibly significantly reduced) in the late morning and early afternoon.  If we're lucky, we could even see the AQI readings drop down to Moderate during the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, May 10:  We could also see better than average conditions for Beijing on Saturday.  We should see conditions at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or Unhealthy for most of the day, but we have another chance at improved air quality in the afternoon.

SUNDAY, May 11:  We have another chance of good air quality on Sunday.  We should see the air clear overnight, leaving us with Good or Moderate AQI readings for most of the day.

MONDAY, May 12:  Monday should bring us back to poor air quality, likely at Unhealthy conditions throughout the day. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, May 8, 2014

We're expecting to be back to poor air quality on Thursday.  Look for increasing AQI levels in the morning, taking us up to Unhealthy or the lower ranges of Very Unhealthy, but we should see some reduction in the pollution in the afternoon, possibly as low as Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, May 9:  Friday’s weather forecast leaves us with a decent amount of uncertainty as to the pollution.  It’s safe to say that we should not see AQI readings any higher than Unhealthy, and there is also a chance of seeing better than average air quality.  We’ll monitor the weather forecasts and see if the forecast becomes more clear in the next day.

SATURDAY, May 10:  We’re expecting about average conditions for Beijing on Saturday.  We should see Unhealthy conditions for most of the day and a chance at improved air quality in the afternoon.

SUNDAY, May 11:  We have another chance of good air quality on Sunday afternoon.  Although the day should start off with poor air quality, that could drop to Good or Moderate AQI readings in the late morning or early afternoon. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, May 7, 2014

As we watch the pollution accumulating on Tuesday evening, it looks like Wednesday morning will bring us poor air quality.  But we should see the skies clear at least to some extent on Wednesday between late morning and late afternoon.  If the weather cooperates, we could drop down into Good or Moderate AQI readings, but there is still a believable scenario where we would spend most of the day at Unhealthy or higher readings. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, May 8:  We should be back at Unhealthy conditions on Thursday morning, but there is some chance of improved air quality in the afternoon.

FRIDAY, May 9:  Friday’s weather forecast leaves us with a decent amount of uncertainty as to the pollution.  It's safe to say that we should not see AQI readings any higher than Unhealthy, and there is also a chance of seeing better than average air quality.  We'll monitor the weather forecasts and see if the forecast becomes more clear in the next day or two. 

SATURDAY, May 10:  We're expecting about average conditions for Beijing on Saturday.  You can expect to see Unhealthy conditions for most of the day and a chance at improved air quality in the afternoon. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, May 6, 2014

We're going to be back to normal in Beijing on Tuesday, and that means Unhealthy air quality.  We should move up into Unhealthy conditions during the early morning hours and through the late morning, but there is some chance of clearing skies in the evening.  We think it is most likely that the AQI will stay at or near the Unhealthy range, but it is possible that the AQI could drop as low as Moderate in the late evening.

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, May 7:  Wednesday's forecast has improved over the last couple of days.  Right now, it looks like we could see clear skies return during the late morning or early afternoon.  This is still probably a long shot, so we will hope for the best.  If that improved air quality does not show up, we are likely to spend most of the day at Unhealthy conditions.

THURSDAY, May 8:  We should be back at Unhealthy conditions on Thursday morning, but there is some chance of improved air quality in the afternoon.

FRIDAY, May 9:  Friday's conditions should be similar to Thursday's, with poor air quality in the morning and improved conditions in the afternoon and evening.

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, May 5, 2014

Monday's forecast is still looking good for air quality, so look for Good or Moderate AQI readings throughout the day.  But with worse air quality expected on Tuesday, don't be surprised if we see the pollution start to accumulate again in the evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, May 6:  Our run of good air is likely to end on Tuesday, so we should see a return to Unhealthy air quality during the day.  If Monday's good air hangs around just a bit, we could have somewhat lower than average AQI readings in the morning, but don't expect it to last long. 

WEDNESDAY, May 7:  Wednesday should be another day for poor air quality, likely around Unhealthy for the entire day.

THURSDAY, May 8:  Thursday's air quality should mostly mirror Wednesday's, but there is a slightly better chance of improved air quality in the afternoon on Thursday. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, May 4, 2014

After some serious winds on Saturday evening, we should have a great day on Sunday.  Look for Good or Moderate AQI readings throughout the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, May 5:  We're expecting Good or Moderate AQI readings for most of the day on Monday, but it's likely that we will see somewhat increased pollution levels in the evening.

TUESDAY, May 6:  Our run of good air is likely to end on Tuesday, so we should see a return to Unhealthy air quality during the day.

WEDNESDAY, May 7:  Wednesday should be another day for poor air quality, likely around Unhealthy for the entire day. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, May 3, 2014

After good air quality on Friday, Saturday will have us returning to more typical Beijing conditions for a bit.  We should be back at Unhealthy AQI levels in the morning, but by late morning the skies should start to clear again.  We have a good chance at being back down to Good/Moderate AQI readings before midnight. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, May 4:  We should have another great day on Sunday with Good/Moderate AQI readings for the entire day.

MONDAY, May 5:  The weather forecast is not entirely clear, but right now it looks like we have a very good chance of good air quality all day on Monday.

TUESDAY, May 6:  Our run of good air is likely to end on Tuesday, so we should see a return to Unhealthy air quality during the day. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, May 2, 2014

Friday should bring us great air quality in Beijing, so we can expect Good/Moderate AQI readings for basically the entire day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, May 3:  We should see higher PM2.5 levels on Saturday morning, but the skies should clear again sometime during the afternoon.

SUNDAY, May 4:  We should have another great day on Sunday in Beijing with Good/Moderate AQI readings for the entire day.

MONDAY, May 5:  The weather forecast is not entirely clear, but right now it looks like we have a very good chance of good air quality all day on Monday. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:

 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, May 1, 2014

The story for Thursday should be poor air quality in the morning, then improving air quality for the rest of the day.  We're expecting the skies to clear for Friday, and if we're lucky we will see some of that clear air late on Thursday. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, May 2:  Friday should be a great day, with Good/Moderate air quality during the day, but there is a chance of increasing pollution levels in the evening.

SATURDAY, May 3:  The PM2.5 levels should be rising on Saturday morning, but the skies should clear again during the late afternoon or the evening.

SUNDAY, May 4:  We're expecting another great day on Sunday in Beijing with Good/Moderate AQI readings. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings: