PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, July 29, 2014

We're going on hiatus for a couple of days, but before we do we have a quick look at the forecast for the rest of the week.  For Tuesday, expect conditions similar to Sunday and Monday:  Unhealthy conditions are likely throughout the day with a peak in the morning and the best air of the day in the afternoon. 


EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, July 30:  For Wednesday, we should see average or slightly worse than average conditions, so look for Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy AQI readings throughout the day.

THURSDAY, July 31:  More of the same for Thursday:  Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy conditions throughout the day.

FRIDAY, August 1:  Friday should make it 3 in a row for average or worse than average conditions. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, July 28, 2014

Monday looks like it could be a repeat of Sunday.  We could see AQI readings at Unhealthy for the entire day, but we can't rule out the possibility of seeing readings at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups in the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, July 29:  Tuesday’s weather looks remarkably similar to Sunday and Monday’s, so look for average or slightly better than average conditions.

WEDNESDAY, July 30:  We should be back to about average conditions on Wednesday, so look for Unhealthy AQI readings for much of the day.

THURSDAY, July 31:  Thursday should be just another average day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, July 27, 2014

We have another chance at better than average air quality on Sunday.  After seeing Unhealthy AQI readings overnight, we should see the pollution drop off through the morning, leaving us with AQI readings most likely at Moderate or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups for the afternoon and much of the evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, July 28:  Monday could bring us more of the same or a return to about-average conditions with Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups AQI readings.

TUESDAY, July 29:  Tuesday's weather looks remarkably similar to Sunday and Monday's, so look for average or slightly better than average conditions.

WEDNESDAY, July 30:  We should be back to about average conditions on Wednesday, so look for Unhealthy AQI readings for much of the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, July 26, 2014

We saw the better than average air quality we expected on Friday, but it is unlikely to last much longer.  We should see increasing pollution overnight, leaving us with Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy conditions by morning.  We could see the pollution drop a bit in the afternoon, but that probably will not be enough to move the AQI lower than Unhealthy. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, July 27:  We're in for similar conditions on Sunday, although we do have some chance of slightly better than average conditions in the afternoon.

MONDAY, July 28:  Monday should bring us more of the same, with Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups AQI readings.

TUESDAY, July 29:  And the streak should continue on Tuesday with average conditions. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, July 25, 2014

After an average day on Thursday, we have a chance at improved air quality on Friday.  We could see somewhat elevated pollution overnight, but then we expect the skies to clear at least to some extent in the morning.  We could see the AQI drop as low as Moderate in the morning and afternoon before the pollution starts to accumulate again in the evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, July 26:  We're expecting to be back at average conditions on Saturday:  look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

SUNDAY, July 27:  The streak of average air quality should continue on Sunday, although we do have some chance of slightly better than average conditions in the afternoon.

MONDAY, July 28:  Monday should bring us more of the same with Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups conditions. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, July 24, 2014

It looks like we're headed back to about average conditions on Thursday, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups for most of the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, July 25:  The average conditions should continue on Friday.

SATURDAY, July 26:  And more of the same for Saturday:  look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

SUNDAY, July 27:  The streak of average air quality should continue on Sunday. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Our forecast for Wednesday is remarkably similar to our forecast for Tuesday.  We have a decent chance of staying in the Good to Moderate range overnight and into the morning, but we can't rule out the possibility of increasing pollution early in the morning.  By some time shortly after noon, we should start to see the pollution rise again, likely leaving us with Unhealthy AQI readings before the day is over.

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, July 24:  Thursday is likely to give us our return to average conditions with AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.

FRIDAY, July 25:  The average conditions should continue on Friday.

SATURDAY, July 26:  And more of the same for Saturday:  look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Monday's air quality turned out great, and it looks like we have a good chance at more of the same on Tuesday.  We can expect Good or Moderate air quality overnight and through the morning, although there is a slight chance we could see the AQI move up to Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups during that time frame.  Then we could see the pollution pick up somewhat significantly in the evening, but if we're lucky that might not take us all the way up to Unhealthy before midnight. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, July 23:  Our forecast for Wednesday is a bit mixed.  There is a decent chance we could see a return to average conditions, with AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.  But there is also a chance the better than average conditions from Tuesday could persist.  Given these different possibilities, our best prediction for right now is that we will likely see better than average conditions, but likely not too many readings in the Good or Moderate ranges. 

THURSDAY, July 24:  Thursday should give us our return to average conditions with AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.

FRIDAY, July 25:  The average conditions should continue on Friday. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, July 21, 2014

Our forecast for Monday is slightly less positive than it was yesterday, but we're still almost certain that we will see better than average air quality for the day.  After seeing Unhealthy conditions overnight, look for decreasing pollution in the morning and early afternoon.  We could drop as low as Moderate on the AQI scale during the afternoon hours. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, July 22:  There is a very good chance that the better than average air quality from Monday will carry over to Tuesday, but right now it looks like Tuesday's air quality will probably not be quite as good as Monday's.

WEDNESDAY, July 23:  Our most likely outcome for Wednesday is a return to average conditions, so we can expect AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

THURSDAY, July 24:  Thursday should give us similar conditions, about average with AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, July 20, 2014

Saturday brought us some better than average air quality, and it looks like Sunday may bring us more of the same.  We should see Unhealthy AQI readings overnight, but the pollution should clear somewhat in the late morning/early afternoon.  If everything goes well, we could see the AQI drop as low as Moderate for most of the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, July 21:  It looks like there should be some real relief in sight on Monday.  The morning should give us poor air quality, but there is a very good chance that we could see clearing skies by late afternoon or early evening, probably down to Good/Moderate AQI readings in the afternoon or evening.

TUESDAY, July 22:  Tuesday’s forecast is a bit up in the air at the moment.  There is a decent chance that the good air quality from Monday will carry over, but it’s still difficult to say that for certain at this point.

WEDNESDAY, July 23:  Our most likely outcome for Wednesday is a return to average conditions, so we can expect AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, July 19, 2014

We're in for another day of poor air quality on Saturday.  You can expect Unhealthy AQI readings for nearly the entire day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, July 20:  Sunday’s forecast is similar to Saturday's, but there is a decent chance of improved AQI readings in the afternoon.  We could drop down to Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or, if we're lucky, down to Moderate.

MONDAY, July 21:  It looks like there should be some real relief in sight on Monday.  The morning should give us poor air quality, but there is a decent chance that we could see clearing skies by late afternoon or early evening.

TUESDAY, July 22:  Tuesday's forecast is a bit up in the air at the moment.  There is a decent chance that the good air quality from Monday will carry over, but it's difficult to say that for certain at this point. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, July 18, 2014

Thursday's AQI readings went higher than we expected, and Friday's are not looking good either.  We are expecting increasing PM2.5 levels through the early morning hours then expecting a slight decrease in the pollution by late morning or early afternoon.  You should see no better than Unhealthy conditions, and the most likely scenario has us at Very Unhealthy conditions for much of the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, July 19:  Saturday is not looking much better, so you can expect Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy conditions for much of the day. 

SUNDAY, July 20:  Sunday's forecast is similar, so there is a good chance that we will spend most of the day at Unhealthy or Very Unhealthy conditions.  There is some chance of slightly improved AQI readings in the afternoon, but we are not expecting to go below Unhealthy. 

MONDAY, July 21:  It looks like there might be some relief in sight on Monday.  The morning should give us poor air quality, but there is a decent chance that we could see clearing skies by late afternoon or early evening.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, July 17, 2014

We're expecting poor air quality again on Thursday, although we do not expect the AQI to go quite as high as it did on Wednesday.  We could see the AQI move up a bit overnight, but it should start to drop back down a bit early in the morning.  If we're lucky, we could see the AQI down at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups before the pollution starts to accumulate again in the late afternoon and evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, July 18:  Friday should keep us at “normal” conditions, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

SATURDAY, July 19:  Saturday should keep the streak of average air quality going.

SUNDAY, July 20:  From this far out, it's difficult to make a call on Sunday's air quality, but for now it looks like we should see average to slightly better than average air quality for most of the day.  That means we should see some part of the day at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups levels and possibly down to Moderate at times. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Tuesday brought us back into what we would consider to be a normal range of AQI readings for Beijing in the summer, and Wednesday should keep us in that same range.  We should see Unhealthy conditions overnight and into the morning, then we should see somewhat clearing skies from late morning through the rest of the day. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, July 17:  Thursday’s forecast is similar to Wednesday’s so, for now, we’re going to stay with the forecast of average air quality for Thursday and a slight chance of better than average conditions, particularly so if we see better than average conditions on Wednesday night.

FRIDAY, July 18:  Friday should keep us at “normal” conditions, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

SATURDAY, July 19:  Saturday should keep the streak of average air quality going. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, July 15, 2014

The weather forecast for Monday was a bit off, but luckily it was off in a way that brought us better air quality than we expected.  But the weather forecast predicts a return to "normal" for Tuesday, so we're not expecting the Moderate AQI readings that we saw on Monday.  Look for us to move back up to Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or Unhealthy overnight and into the morning, then we should see the AQI drop back down a bit in the afternoon. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, July 16:  We think the most likely scenario for Wednesday is another day with normal air quality, but we can't rule out the possibility of somewhat clearing skies early on Wednesday morning.  We'll see if we get any more clarity on that forecast tomorrow. 

THURSDAY, July 17:  Thursday's forecast is similar to Wednesday's so, for now, we're going to stay with the forecast of average air quality for Thursday and a slight chance of better than average conditions, especially in the morning hours. 

FRIDAY, July 18:  Friday should keep us at “normal” conditions, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, July 14, 2014

Sunday night's Unhealthy air quality signaled the return of average air for us in Beijing.  We're expecting "normal" summer air quality for Monday, and that means AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day, peak pollution in the morning, and decreased pollution in the afternoon.

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, July 15:  Tuesday should keep us at about average conditions, Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups all day long.

WEDNESDAY, July 16:  The normal air quality should continue on Wednesday.

THURSDAY, July 17:  Thursday should keep the trend of “normal” conditions going, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, July 13, 2014

We've had nearly a week of good air quality, but it looks like it is coming to an end on Sunday.  We will probably start off the day with Good or Moderate AQI readings, but those readings should climb throughout the day, probably up to Unhealthy before the day is over.

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, July 14:  We’re expecting to be back to “normal” conditions in Beijing on Monday, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

TUESDAY, July 15:  Tuesday should keep us at about average conditions, Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups all day long.

WEDNESDAY, July 16:  The normal air quality should continue on Wednesday.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, July 12, 2014

We're on a good streak of air quality, and it looks like Saturday is bringing us more of the same.  We are expecting Good or Moderate AQI readings in the morning and early afternoon before the pollution starts to accumulate again in the afternoon and evening.  We could see Unhealthy readings before the day is over, but if we're lucky the AQI will stay at Moderate or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, July 13:  It looks like Sunday morning's air quality will be better than average and possibly Good or Moderate.  But we should see deteriorating conditions in the afternoon, very likely back at Unhealthy conditions in the late evening. 

MONDAY, July 14:  We’re expecting to be back to “normal” conditions in Beijing on Monday, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

TUESDAY, July 15:  Tuesday should keep us at about average conditions, Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups all day long. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, July 11, 2014

Friday should give us the best air quality of the week, so we're in for a great start to the weekend.  Look for Good or Moderate air quality for most of the day, then we should see increased AQI readings in the late afternoon and evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, July 12:  Saturday morning promises Good or Moderate air quality as well, and that should last for some time into the afternoon.  But it looks like the AQI should start to creep up late in the afternoon, possibly leaving us with Unhealthy conditions before the day is over.

SUNDAY, July 13:  Sunday’s forecast is a bit uncertain at this point.  There is some indication that the air quality will be better than average in the morning before deteriorating in the afternoon, so for now it looks like we can expect better than average conditions for the day.

MONDAY, July 14:  We're expecting to be back to "normal" conditions in Beijing on Monday, so look for AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, July 10, 2014

It looks like our forecast for Thursday should hold, so we are expecting better than average air quality for most or all of the day.  It is most likely that we will spend much of the day at Moderate AQI readings, but we can't rule out the possibility of variations on either side of that.  We could see elevated AQI levels in the early morning and late evening, but the middle of the day should be better than average.

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, July 11:  Friday has the best forecast of any day so far this week, so we should be at Good or Moderate AQI levels for most or all of the day.

SATURDAY, July 12:  Saturday morning promises Good or Moderate air quality as well, but it looks like the AQI should creep up in the afternoon, possibly to Unhealthy before the day is over.

SUNDAY, July 13:  Sunday's forecast is a bit uncertain at this point.  There is some indication that the air quality will be better than average in the morning before deteriorating in the afternoon, but we will hope for some more clarity in the next couple of days.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Tuesday gave us better than expected air quality, and we have a good chance of staying at better than average conditions for a few more hours.  But by noon, the AQI should start to climb, and it is most likely that we will see Unhealthy readings before the day is over. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, July 10:  The weather for Thursday also looks good for better than average air quality, so we could see the AQI below Unhealthy for much of the day.

FRIDAY, July 11:  Right now, it looks like our better than average air quality should stay around for Friday. 

SATURDAY, July 12:  Saturday is shaping up to be a better than average air quality day for what could be the 5th day in a row.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Tuesday, July 8, 2014

We should finally see some relief from the poor air quality on Tuesday.  Look for decreasing AQI readings through the morning and into the afternoon, likely leaving us with the AQI at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups at the best point of the day.  After that, we can expect increasing pollution again in the evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

WEDNESDAY, July 9:  We think the AQI should drop again on Wednesday morning, so we could drop down into the Moderate AQI range before lunch.  Despite that, the decent air quality will not last for long, and we expect a return to Unhealthy AQI readings before the day is over.

THURSDAY, July 10:  The weather for Thursday looks good for improved air quality - we just might finally make it down to Good AQI readings for the first time in more than two weeks. 

FRIDAY, July 11:  Right now, it looks like our better than average air quality should stay around for Friday.  It's not a guarantee, so we will continue to monitor and hope for the best. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Monday, July 7, 2014

Monday's air quality should be similar to what we saw over the weekend, except that we have a better chance at improved air quality on Monday than we did on the previous days.  We are expecting Very Unhealthy conditions overnight, but the PM2.5 level should drop through the morning.  If the best-case scenario plays out, we could see the AQI drop as low as Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.  After we hit the day's low point in the afternoon, look for increasing pollution again in the evening. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

TUESDAY, July 8:  On Tuesday morning, we’re expecting about average conditions, but there is a decent chance that we could see better than average conditions in the afternoon.  For now, we think the most likely scenario is Unhealthy AQI readings in the morning, then readings at Moderate or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups in the afternoon.

WEDNESDAY, July 9:  The better than average air quality should continue for a bit on Wednesday morning, but we expect a return to Unhealthy AQI readings before the day is over. 

THURSDAY, July 10:  Back to average air quality for Thursday:  conditions at Unhealthy and Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups should be the order of the day. 

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Sunday, July 6, 2014

If you're experiencing some deja vu looking at the prediction for Sunday, never fear:  your mind isn't playing tricks on you.  The weather and pollution forecasts for Sunday are nearly identical to Saturday's, so expect another day with Unhealthy and Very Unhealthy AQI readings. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

MONDAY, July 7:  Monday should be another day with about normal air quality:  our AQI readings should be at Unhealthy for most of the day, and the best air of the day should be in the afternoon.

TUESDAY, July 8:  On Tuesday, we’re expecting no better than average conditions, and there is a decent chance that we could return to worse than average AQI readings.  We will keep an eye on this and hope the forecast improves.

WEDNESDAY, July 9:  We have our first chance at Good air quality in nearly two weeks on Wednesday.  From here, it looks like we have a better than 50% chance of seeing Good/Moderate readings, so we will keep our fingers crossed as we monitor the forecast.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Saturday, July 5, 2014

It looks like we have at least a few more hours of very poor air quality before we see some relief.  We are expecting to spend much of the morning at Very Unhealthy conditions, then the skies should clear somewhat in the afternoon.  If we're lucky, we will return to "normal" Unhealthy conditions for the upcoming days.

EXTENDED FORECAST

SUNDAY, July 6:  If we manage to return to normal conditions on Saturday, Sunday should keep us at about average air quality for Beijing.  So we are expecting AQI readings around Unhealthy throughout the day.

MONDAY, July 7:  Monday should be another normal day:  our AQI readings should be at Unhealthy for most of the day, and the best air of the day should be in the afternoon.

TUESDAY, July 8:  On Tuesday, we're expecting no better than average conditions, and there is a decent chance that we could return to worse than average AQI readings.  We will keep an eye on this and hope the forecast improves.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, July 4, 2014

We expected high AQI readings on Thursday, but we did not expect to see the AQI go up into the Hazardous range.  AQI readings that high are unusual for summertime in Beijing, so despite similar predicted weather conditions for Friday, we can't rule out the possibility that we will see conditions return to a more "normal" state.  Our prediction graph reflects this possibility, and it also reflects the possibility that we could see another day of much higher than usual pollution levels.

EXTENDED FORECAST

SATURDAY, July 5:  The very poor air quality could continue into Saturday morning, but we should see a return to average air quality on Saturday afternoon, likely back down to Unhealthy conditions.

SUNDAY, July 6:  Sunday should keep us at about average air quality for Beijing, so we can expect AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

MONDAY, July 7:  And Monday should be another normal day:  AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups with the best air of the day coming in the afternoon.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Thursday, July 3, 2014

Wednesday gave us a few moments of decent air quality, but Thursday should bring us back to more normal conditions.  We're expecting Unhealthy AQI readings throughout the day, but there is also a small chance that we could see Very Unhealthy conditions at times. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

FRIDAY, July 4:  There is a small chance of improved air quality overnight and into Friday morning, but aside from that chance, we should see another average day.

SATURDAY, July 5:  We should again see about average air quality on Saturday, likely at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.  As usual, there is a reasonable chance that we could see somewhat improved conditions in the afternoon. 

SUNDAY, July 6:  Sunday should bring us another day of average air quality in Beijing, so we can expect AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Tuesday gave us air quality that was a little worse than we expected, but it looks like we'll be seeing improved conditions on Wednesday morning.  Unfortunately, we don't think the AQI will stay low for very long.  You can expect increasing AQI readings throughout the day, likely taking us back up to Unhealthy before the day is over. 

EXTENDED FORECAST

THURSDAY, July 3:  Thursday should bring us another day of average air quality in Beijing, so we can expect AQI readings at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups throughout the day.

FRIDAY, July 4:  There is a small chance of improved air quality overnight and into Friday morning, but aside from that chance, we should see another average day.

SATURDAY, July 5:  We should again see about average air quality on Saturday, likely at Unhealthy or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.